A bit of electoral maths
Following my last post about the Tories having a greater share of the popular vote in England than Labour, I've been doing some maths using the BBC’s final figures.
In the 645 constituencies which have declared (
Labour got 9,556,183 votes total throughout the
The Conservatives got 8,772,598 votes, which translates to 209 seats, rather than 197. Not much change – they’ve only been cheated out of 12 seats.
The Lib Dems are the biggest losers from the current system with their 5,982,045 votes resulting in just 62 rather the 142 seats their share of the vote should net them – a difference of 80.
Following the same (admittedly flawed) logic, the Scottish National Party would have 10 seats rather than 6, Plaid Cymru would have 4 rather than 3, Respect would still have 1 seat, while non-scorers UKIP (618,898 votes) would have 15, the Greens (257,758 votes) 6 and the BNP (192,850 votes) 4 or 5. With 43,514 votes, the Scottish Socialists would be the smallest party to get a seat.
3 Comments:
But then typically smaller parties don't get a seat in countries with a proportional system.
In Germany the treshold is 5%, which typically only SPD (Labour), CDU/CSU (Conservatives), Gruene (Green Party) and sometimes FDP (liberals, but much more conservative than the Lib Dems here) manage.
Which luckily has kept far right parties out of the parliament for the last 30 odd years as far as I can remember.
Your maths is probably right but who cares? The Lib Dems & other small parties because the bias is against them, and maybe now the Tories because they've lost 3 times in a row. Labour whined when they lost 3 times too, and even promised to change the system (but didn't).
The fact is our system favours a winner, even on a minority vote. You might think it's better when a minority party like the Lib Dems has the 'balance of power', but isn't that just the same thing, but with undue influence exercised by the minority parties?
When Labour was in the Liberal's position, they promised that they would introduce "fair votes". They stopped saying that as soon as they had replaced the Liberals as the opposition. The same is happening now with the Lib Dems, only in reverse.
Do you have figures for the spread of seats in England?
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